United States Senate election in Texas, 2008

United States Senate election in Texas, 2008

2002 ←
November 4, 2008
→ 2014

 
Nominee John Cornyn Rick Noriega
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,337,469 3,389,365
Percentage 54.8% 42.8%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

John Cornyn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Cornyn
Republican

The 2008 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John Cornyn won re-election to a second term.

Contents

Background

Texas has not elected a Democrat to statewide office since 1994. Texas' senior senator is Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison, who was re-elected with 62% of the vote in the 2006 midterm elections. Texas Governor Rick Perry, also of the GOP, won re-election with 39% of the vote in 2006, in a five way race.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

2008 US Senate, Democratic Primary[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Rick Noriega 1,108,318 51.01% +0.00%
Democratic Gene Kelly 583,845 26.87% +0.00%
Democratic Ray McMurrey 268,742 12.37% +0.00%
Democratic Rhett Smith 211,811 9.75% +0.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

2008 US Senate, Republican Primary[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Cornyn 994,222 81.49% +4.17%
Republican Larry Kilgore 225,897 18.51% +0.00%

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Cornyn, a popular incumbent, had a 42% approval rating with a 43% disapproval rating in June 2007.[4] Texas is a very red state, that Republican presidential nominee John McCain won with over 55% of the vote. Cornyn slightly underperformed McCain. However, Noriega underperformed both 2008 Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama in Texas and Cornyn's 2002 opponent, Ron Kirk, with Noriega receiving just 42.8% of the vote.

Predictions

CQ Politics rated this race as 'Republican Favored'.[5] The Cook Political Report considered it 'Solid Republican'.[6] The Rothenberg Political Report considered it a 'Safe Republican'.[7]

Polling

Poll Source Dates administered Rick Noriega (D) John Cornyn (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008 40% 55%
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2008 43% 50%
Rasmussen Reports July 30, 2008 39% 50%
Rasmussen Reports June 25, 2008 35% 48%
Rasmussen Reports June 2, 2008 35% 52%
Baselice & Associates May 20–25, 2008 33% 49%
Research 2000/Daily Kos May 5–7, 2008 44% 48%
Rasmussen Reports May 1, 2008 43% 47%
Research 2000 September 24–26, 2007 35% 51%
Rasmussen September 18, 2007 30% 53%

Results

2008 Texas U.S. Senate general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Cornyn 4,337,469 54.82 -0.48
Democratic Rick Noriega 3,389,365 42.83 -0.50
Libertarian Yvonne Adams Schick 185,241 2.34 +1.55
Majority 948,104
Turnout 7,912,075 58.28
Republican hold Swing

References

External links